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วันอังคารที่ 29 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2552
เกิร์ลกรุ๊ปเกาหลี แฟนคลับโวยแต่งล่อแหลม
การขายความเซ็กซี่กับกลุ่มนักร้องสาว เกิร์ลกรุ๊ป ดูเหมือนจะเป็นของคู่กันไปแล้ว แต่เมื่อบางครั้งความเซ็กซี่ก็ถูกใช้มากเกินไปจนเกินขอบเขต เช่นในวงการดนตรีของเกาหลีขณะนี้ที่เหล่านักร้องสาว ต่างแต่งกายอย่างเปิดเผย จนกลายเป็นที่วิพากษ์วิจารณ์อย่างแพร่หลาย
เหตุการณ์ที่กลายเป็นที่วิพากษ์วิจารณ์อย่างมากในเกาหลีก็คือ การแสดงคอนเสิร์ตของวงเกิร์ลกรุ๊ป 4Minutes เมื่อวันที่ 26 ก.ย. ที่ผ่านมา โดยจุดเด่นที่ดึงดูดสายตาของผู้ชมทั้งหมดไปก็คือ ฮยอนอา สมาชิกสาวน้อยวัย 17 ของวงที่ปรากฏตัวด้วยชุดมินิเดรสสุดสั้น ชนิดคนดูแทบลืมกระพริบตา ที่แย่ไปกว่านั้นดูเหมือนกระโปรงที่สุดสั้นอยู่แล้วนั้น จะเลิกขึ้นมาเรื่อยๆ เมื่อสาวน้อยคนนี้ต้องเต้นอยู่บนเวที จนเธอต้องเอามือดึงลงมาบ่อยๆ
นับได้ว่านี่ไม่ใช่ครั้งแรกเพราะเมื่อครั้งเจ้าตัวขึ้นแสดงบนเวที KBS Music Bank เมื่อวันที่ 18 ก.ย. ที่ผ่านมาก็เกิดเหตุการณ์ทำนองนี้เช่นกัน โดยวิดีโอบันทึกการแสดงของเธอได้ถูกโพสท์ลง Youtube ในวันที่ 19 ก.ย. พร้อมกับมีการรวบรวมคลิปจากการแสดงต่างๆที่เกิดจากชุดไม่เหมาะสมที่เธอสวม ใส่ด้วย และเมื่อภาพการแสดงดังกล่าวถูกเผยแพร่ออกไป เสียงวิจารณ์จากแฟนๆ ทางเน็ตก็ถูกกระหน่ำตามมาทันที
ทางตัวแทนของฮยอนอา จึงได้ออกมาแถลงถึงเหตุการณ์ที่เกิดขึ้นโดยระบุว่านักร้องสาวมีการเซฟมา อย่างดีแล้ว "ใต้กระโปรงนั่น เธอได้ใส่กางเกงขาสั้นเซฟไว้แล้ว" แต่ด้วยเหตุผลนี้ทางแฟนเพลงต่างแสดงความไม่พอใจโดยระบุว่าเหตุที่ออกมา วิพากษ์วิจารณ์ครั้งนี้เป็นเพราะชุดที่ไม่เหมาะสมต่างหาก
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UK Final GDP Unlikely To Be Sterling's Salvation
UK Final GDP Unlikely To Be Sterling's Salvation
Market Brief
It was a quiet day in the FX space yesterday, with German CPI releases forming the entirety of the data releases during our session. The overall reading came in at -0.4% M/M (vs. +0.2% expected) but came as little surprise to the market, as regional figures released earlier all posted lower than forecast changes on the month. More influential were comments from ECB's Trichet in the afternoon who stated that a strong USD is 'extremely important'. The 30bp dip lower in EURUSD failed to gain much traction as improved risk appetite gradually ground back the advantage, EURUSD was confined to a 100bp range for most of the day (currently 1.4630). Most focus was instead turned to EURCHF which continues to hover around the 1.5100 level. We are looking to add to longs below the figure, and hope to exploit SNB intervention to weaken the CHF around these levels.
After equities in Europe and the US ended strongly higher yesterday, overnight Asian indices rebounded across the board from Monday's sell-off. The DXY has remained stable (76.85) despite the slight improvement in risk appetite, and commodities are largely flat or very modestly higher (gold $992, silver $16.25). Japanese CPI data highlighted national inflation is -2.2% Y/Y, but the figures were in line with forecasts and, as is common with Japanese data releases, had very little FX impact.
Today the spotlight is on the UK as we await the final Q2 GDP reading along with mortgage approvals, consumer credit, and M4 money supply. GDP is expected to be revised upwards (Q/Q -0.6% exp, -0.7% prior), and whilst improvements in the UK data may force a squeeze higher in GBPUSD, rallies should be capped under 1.6110 (currently 1.5905), and our bias is that downside surprises form the greater risk to GBP going forward as other major economies exit the recession and look to pull away from accommodative monetary policy.
Elsewhere, expect Eurozone Retail PMI (47.1 prior), Eurozone Consumer Confidence (-21 exp, -22 prior), and US Consumer Confidence - expected to post a small improvement in Sep to 57.0 from 54.1 last month.
วันจันทร์ที่ 28 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2552
Forex Trading Strategies 29/9/2009
Greenback Gains Despite Stock Market Rally
* The dollar traded mostly higher on Monday despite a US equity market rally. Stocks rose for the first day in five. The S&P 500 climbed 18.60 points to 1,062.98. The USD/JPY recovered overnight losses after Japan’s Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii, who opposes intervening in the currency markets, stated that he is carefully monitoring the strengthening yen and stable currency moves are desirable. The euro declined after European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said the solidity of the dollar is important. Sterling fell for a fourth day despite increasing UK home prices. The Australian dollar rose on Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens’ hawkish comment that adjustments to interest rates shall be “timely and ahead of a build-up of imbalances that would occur if interest rates were kept low for too long.” The Canadian dollar gained as energy prices advanced.
* The dollar index rose, supported by ECB President Trichet’s assertion that a strong dollar is extremely important for the world economy and it is too early for the ECB to unwind emergency stimulus measures. Interestingly, the dollar index gained despite higher equity prices. This could be a new development. We are closely monitoring this week’s employment report. Better-than-expected employment figures may lead to speculation that US interest rates could rise faster than international ones, which in turn could be the end of risk aversion trades and the beginning of a period when the greenback can rally on good news. The dollar index is between important support at the 76 handle and resistance from its downtrend in the 77.50 area. A break of either direction will signal the future USD outlook.
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* The dollar traded mostly higher on Monday despite a US equity market rally. Stocks rose for the first day in five. The S&P 500 climbed 18.60 points to 1,062.98. The USD/JPY recovered overnight losses after Japan’s Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii, who opposes intervening in the currency markets, stated that he is carefully monitoring the strengthening yen and stable currency moves are desirable. The euro declined after European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said the solidity of the dollar is important. Sterling fell for a fourth day despite increasing UK home prices. The Australian dollar rose on Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens’ hawkish comment that adjustments to interest rates shall be “timely and ahead of a build-up of imbalances that would occur if interest rates were kept low for too long.” The Canadian dollar gained as energy prices advanced.
* The dollar index rose, supported by ECB President Trichet’s assertion that a strong dollar is extremely important for the world economy and it is too early for the ECB to unwind emergency stimulus measures. Interestingly, the dollar index gained despite higher equity prices. This could be a new development. We are closely monitoring this week’s employment report. Better-than-expected employment figures may lead to speculation that US interest rates could rise faster than international ones, which in turn could be the end of risk aversion trades and the beginning of a period when the greenback can rally on good news. The dollar index is between important support at the 76 handle and resistance from its downtrend in the 77.50 area. A break of either direction will signal the future USD outlook.
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วันพุธที่ 23 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2552
Forex Trading Strategies 24/9/2009
Dollar Holds Support after FOMC Statement
* The greenback declined on the FOMC statement but later rose against most major currencies after US equities reversed gains and had a selloff in late NY trading. The Federal Reserve, as expected, maintained the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 0.25% and upgraded its economic assessment for the US economy. The Fed sees economic activity as having “picked up” in today’s FOMC statement versus just “leveling out” in the previous statement. The Fed also sees a slow economic recovery with contained inflation and expects to keep rates at “exceptionally low levels” for “an extended period.” The dollar index rose to 76.36 after trading below the 76 handle. The S&P 500 declined 10.79 points to 1,060.87. The euro, yen, Swiss franc, aussie, and loonie reversed earlier gains as stocks and risk appetite declined.
* The GBP/USD rose on today’s release of the Bank of England September 9-10 minutes, but reversed earlier gains as US stocks fell in late trading. At the September meeting, the BOE Monetary Policy Committee voted unanimously to keep its quantitative easing program at £175 billion and hold interest rates at a record-low 0.50%. The minutes calmed fears over a possible expansion of the BOE’s quantitative easing program. Meanwhile, the Confederation of British Industry sees an end to the UK recession and forecasts 0.3% and 0.4% growth for the final two quarters of 2009. However, the prospects for growth next year will be “feeble” as the economy continues to feel the effects of the financial crisis and tight credit. The GBP/USD has been trading in a sideways pattern since June. The pair broke its uptrend in August and now looks heavy. Therefore, we are selling the GBP/USD with stop at 1.6760. There are supports in the 1.61 and 1.59 areas and resistances in the 1.66 and 1.67.
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* The greenback declined on the FOMC statement but later rose against most major currencies after US equities reversed gains and had a selloff in late NY trading. The Federal Reserve, as expected, maintained the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 0.25% and upgraded its economic assessment for the US economy. The Fed sees economic activity as having “picked up” in today’s FOMC statement versus just “leveling out” in the previous statement. The Fed also sees a slow economic recovery with contained inflation and expects to keep rates at “exceptionally low levels” for “an extended period.” The dollar index rose to 76.36 after trading below the 76 handle. The S&P 500 declined 10.79 points to 1,060.87. The euro, yen, Swiss franc, aussie, and loonie reversed earlier gains as stocks and risk appetite declined.
* The GBP/USD rose on today’s release of the Bank of England September 9-10 minutes, but reversed earlier gains as US stocks fell in late trading. At the September meeting, the BOE Monetary Policy Committee voted unanimously to keep its quantitative easing program at £175 billion and hold interest rates at a record-low 0.50%. The minutes calmed fears over a possible expansion of the BOE’s quantitative easing program. Meanwhile, the Confederation of British Industry sees an end to the UK recession and forecasts 0.3% and 0.4% growth for the final two quarters of 2009. However, the prospects for growth next year will be “feeble” as the economy continues to feel the effects of the financial crisis and tight credit. The GBP/USD has been trading in a sideways pattern since June. The pair broke its uptrend in August and now looks heavy. Therefore, we are selling the GBP/USD with stop at 1.6760. There are supports in the 1.61 and 1.59 areas and resistances in the 1.66 and 1.67.
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วันพฤหัสบดีที่ 17 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2552
Forex Trading Strategies 18/9/2009
Dollar at Critical Support
* The dollar traded mixed on Thursday, having tested important technical levels in the crosses. The dollar index tested its 76.00 support before closing little changed at 76.24. US economic figures were mixed. Housing data was slightly weaker than expected while numbers on initial jobless claims and Philadelphia manufacturing were better than expected. The S&P 500 declined 3.28 points to 1,065.48. The yen fell modestly. The Bank of Japan maintained its key interest rate at 0.10% and upgraded its assessment of the Japanese economy. BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa echoed the new government’s view that a strong yen could be beneficial in the long run. The euro rose for a 10th consecutive day. Sterling fell, testing the 1.64-area support as UK retail sales were flat. The Australian dollar was unable to penetrate the 0.88 resistance, pressured by a report on RBA intervention to slow the appreciation. The Swiss franc rose, even against the euro, despite new promise from the Swiss National Bank to counter any gains against the euro.
* The USD/CAD fell for a third day but did not penetrate the 1.06 support. Canada’s August LEI climbed the most since April 2002. The Bank of Canada has committed to keep its key interest rate at 0.25% until mid 1010. The LEI indicates the recovery should be well under way before then. Today’s Canadian inflation report showed modest inflation pressure, so the inflation targeting BOC may continue its easy monetary policy, which could start to support the USD/CAD. There is also the risk of a direct BOC intervention to support the pair. Still, the direction is going to be inversely related with stocks and commodity prices.
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* The dollar traded mixed on Thursday, having tested important technical levels in the crosses. The dollar index tested its 76.00 support before closing little changed at 76.24. US economic figures were mixed. Housing data was slightly weaker than expected while numbers on initial jobless claims and Philadelphia manufacturing were better than expected. The S&P 500 declined 3.28 points to 1,065.48. The yen fell modestly. The Bank of Japan maintained its key interest rate at 0.10% and upgraded its assessment of the Japanese economy. BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa echoed the new government’s view that a strong yen could be beneficial in the long run. The euro rose for a 10th consecutive day. Sterling fell, testing the 1.64-area support as UK retail sales were flat. The Australian dollar was unable to penetrate the 0.88 resistance, pressured by a report on RBA intervention to slow the appreciation. The Swiss franc rose, even against the euro, despite new promise from the Swiss National Bank to counter any gains against the euro.
* The USD/CAD fell for a third day but did not penetrate the 1.06 support. Canada’s August LEI climbed the most since April 2002. The Bank of Canada has committed to keep its key interest rate at 0.25% until mid 1010. The LEI indicates the recovery should be well under way before then. Today’s Canadian inflation report showed modest inflation pressure, so the inflation targeting BOC may continue its easy monetary policy, which could start to support the USD/CAD. There is also the risk of a direct BOC intervention to support the pair. Still, the direction is going to be inversely related with stocks and commodity prices.
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วันพุธที่ 16 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2552
วันอังคารที่ 15 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2552
Forex Trading Strategies 16/9/2009
Sterling Pressured by BOE Governor King
* The dollar traded mostly lower on Tuesday as risk appetite increased and US stock price indexes climbed to fresh yearly highs. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the US recession is “very likely” over but the economy is still weak. US retail sales and producer prices rose more than expected. The S&P 500 was up 3.29 points to 1,052.63. The yen declined for a second day. The euro gained for an eighth consecutive day. The Australian and Canadian dollars advanced on higher commodity prices.
* The GBP/USD fell as Bank of England Governor Mervyn King signaled that the BOE might reduce the rate it pays on bank deposits held at the central bank. King also said the risk to inflation is still on the downside. A lower rate will induce commercial banks to lend more. After breaking its short-term uptrend, the GBP/USD is between the 1.64-area support and the 1.67-area resistance. If the 1.64 support is broken, the GBP/USD outlook will turn more bearish.
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* The dollar traded mostly lower on Tuesday as risk appetite increased and US stock price indexes climbed to fresh yearly highs. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said the US recession is “very likely” over but the economy is still weak. US retail sales and producer prices rose more than expected. The S&P 500 was up 3.29 points to 1,052.63. The yen declined for a second day. The euro gained for an eighth consecutive day. The Australian and Canadian dollars advanced on higher commodity prices.
* The GBP/USD fell as Bank of England Governor Mervyn King signaled that the BOE might reduce the rate it pays on bank deposits held at the central bank. King also said the risk to inflation is still on the downside. A lower rate will induce commercial banks to lend more. After breaking its short-term uptrend, the GBP/USD is between the 1.64-area support and the 1.67-area resistance. If the 1.64 support is broken, the GBP/USD outlook will turn more bearish.
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วันจันทร์ที่ 14 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2552
Forex Trading Strategies 15/9/2009
Yen Is Oversold
* The dollar traded mixed on Monday, higher against the yen and commodity currencies but lower versus the euro. The greenback was supported by increasing risk aversion as a trade dispute between China and the US increased the threat of protectionism. The S&P 500 was up 6.61 points to 1,049.34. The euro rose despite the declines in eurozone industrial production and employment. Sterling was pressured by a report predicting the UK housing slump will resume next year. The Australian dollar fell for a second day and the Canadian dollar declined.
* The USD/JPY rose for the first time in five days, supported by intervention threats. Japan’s Finance Minister Yasutake Tango said officials are paying close attention to the yen. In addition, Goldman Sachs said it does not see a prolonged USD/JPY weakness. The trend is certainly negative, but the pair is oversold measured by the RSI and also near the important 90-area support. Therefore, we expect the USD/JPY to move sideways or higher this week.
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* The dollar traded mixed on Monday, higher against the yen and commodity currencies but lower versus the euro. The greenback was supported by increasing risk aversion as a trade dispute between China and the US increased the threat of protectionism. The S&P 500 was up 6.61 points to 1,049.34. The euro rose despite the declines in eurozone industrial production and employment. Sterling was pressured by a report predicting the UK housing slump will resume next year. The Australian dollar fell for a second day and the Canadian dollar declined.
* The USD/JPY rose for the first time in five days, supported by intervention threats. Japan’s Finance Minister Yasutake Tango said officials are paying close attention to the yen. In addition, Goldman Sachs said it does not see a prolonged USD/JPY weakness. The trend is certainly negative, but the pair is oversold measured by the RSI and also near the important 90-area support. Therefore, we expect the USD/JPY to move sideways or higher this week.
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วันอาทิตย์ที่ 13 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2552
Forex Trading Strategies 14/9/2009
Will Dollar Find Support?
* The dollar was mixed on Friday, sharply lower versus the yen but modestly higher against the commodity currencies. US consumer confidence rose more than expected, boosted by the recent rally on Wall Street. Wholesale inventories fell for a record eleventh straight month while wholesale sales gained, indicating a US economic recovery in on track. The S&P 500 fell 1.41 points to 1,042.73, the first decline in six days. The USD/JPY plunged following the penetration of the 91.50 support. The euro was flat. Sterling rose modestly, supported by higher UK producer-price inflation. The Australian and Canadian dollars declined as commodity prices fell despite China’s better-than-expected industrial production.
* The dollar index fell for a sixth consecutive day, the longest loosing streak since the beginning of the stock market rally in March. Despite weakness in US stock market prices, the dollar index declined 0.13 points to 76.69 today, approaching the 76-area support. Stocks are overbought and usually weak in September/October, and the dollar usually appreciates during the same time. We believe there is a good chance that the dollar may find support despite strong downward momentum and solidly negative sentiment.
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* The dollar was mixed on Friday, sharply lower versus the yen but modestly higher against the commodity currencies. US consumer confidence rose more than expected, boosted by the recent rally on Wall Street. Wholesale inventories fell for a record eleventh straight month while wholesale sales gained, indicating a US economic recovery in on track. The S&P 500 fell 1.41 points to 1,042.73, the first decline in six days. The USD/JPY plunged following the penetration of the 91.50 support. The euro was flat. Sterling rose modestly, supported by higher UK producer-price inflation. The Australian and Canadian dollars declined as commodity prices fell despite China’s better-than-expected industrial production.
* The dollar index fell for a sixth consecutive day, the longest loosing streak since the beginning of the stock market rally in March. Despite weakness in US stock market prices, the dollar index declined 0.13 points to 76.69 today, approaching the 76-area support. Stocks are overbought and usually weak in September/October, and the dollar usually appreciates during the same time. We believe there is a good chance that the dollar may find support despite strong downward momentum and solidly negative sentiment.
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วันศุกร์ที่ 11 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2552
วันอังคารที่ 8 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2552
วันอังคารที่ 1 กันยายน พ.ศ. 2552
USD/JPY 1/9/2009
JPY
The USD/JPY pair touched the correction at 93.25 where it is currently trading within a contracting triangle making us hold onto yesterday's outlook for a decline on the intraday basis as far as 93.25 is intact to target 92.20 and 91.20 respectively. The stochastic indicator is currently neutral and we wait for a confirmation to activate the scenario for today.
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The USD/JPY pair touched the correction at 93.25 where it is currently trading within a contracting triangle making us hold onto yesterday's outlook for a decline on the intraday basis as far as 93.25 is intact to target 92.20 and 91.20 respectively. The stochastic indicator is currently neutral and we wait for a confirmation to activate the scenario for today.
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GBP/USD 1/9/2009
GBP
After yesterday's bearish pressure, the Cable was able to close once again above the key support as seen in the secondary image showing the possibility of inclining supported by the formation of a potential bullish technical pattern with a neckline at 1.6380 where a breakout will change the short term direction to the upside. From here we expect to see high volatility with tendency to the upside on the intraday basis in an attempt to reach the 1.6380 resistance level where from there we will monitor the pair's price action to determine the next move. The 1.6280 level must remain intact for the incline to continue today.
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After yesterday's bearish pressure, the Cable was able to close once again above the key support as seen in the secondary image showing the possibility of inclining supported by the formation of a potential bullish technical pattern with a neckline at 1.6380 where a breakout will change the short term direction to the upside. From here we expect to see high volatility with tendency to the upside on the intraday basis in an attempt to reach the 1.6380 resistance level where from there we will monitor the pair's price action to determine the next move. The 1.6280 level must remain intact for the incline to continue today.
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EUR/USD 1/9/2009
EURO
The Euro versus Dollar pair surged towards the awaited resistance at 1.4375 after building a solid base at the pivot support at 1.4250 yet is still facing difficulties in breaching the mentioned level. We still see possibilities of a breakout today and therefore we expect an incline on the intraday basis targeting 1.4620 as far as 1.4230 is intact.
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The Euro versus Dollar pair surged towards the awaited resistance at 1.4375 after building a solid base at the pivot support at 1.4250 yet is still facing difficulties in breaching the mentioned level. We still see possibilities of a breakout today and therefore we expect an incline on the intraday basis targeting 1.4620 as far as 1.4230 is intact.
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